Analysis: Bitcoin's short-term turnover has significantly cooled down, and the market is near the bottom

By: rootdata|2026/05/27 04:45:01
0
Share
copy

Analyst Murphy stated that by observing the "short-term capital on-chain activity weight" (i.e., the proportion of the dollar value represented by short-term chip turnover) as an on-chain indicator, we can assess the current BTC market status. This indicator reflects the latest short-term trading behaviors such as speculation, arbitrage, profit-taking, or panic selling. Currently, this weight has dropped to historically low levels, appearing only in the bottom regions of bear markets over the past 15 years, indicating a significant cooling of short-term turnover, with economic value shifting towards long-term chip accumulation. The market is characterized by low volatility, consolidation, or clear bottom features.

The analyst judges that based on this, the current market may be in one of three stages: bear market bottom; secondary bottom, which may still have one last drop; or consolidation before the bull market starts. However, under rational judgment, the pre-bull consolidation can be temporarily ruled out. It is currently not recommended to fully bet on a single scenario; a diversified position strategy is advised to cope with different outcomes, as the relative position of the long-term trend has indicated that Bitcoin is near the bottom.

You may also like

Morning Report | BitMine increased its holdings by 126,971 ETH last week; trader Eugene announced his exit from the crypto market

Overview of Important Market Events on June 8th

Wang Chuan: How can one not feel anxious after the neighbor Old Wang made thirty times profit by investing in storage stocks? (Seven) - A quarter-century cycle

In-depth analysis of the "reflexivity" bubble trap in storage stocks: Beware of the backlash from the bullwhip effect and the false narrative of high growth; do not let the short-term myth of wealth become a wealth abyss that cannot be recovered for 25 years.

Cryptocurrency CEXs are flocking to sell US stocks, and traditional brokerages are facing an "uninvited guest."

The major reshuffle has just begun.

$75 billion in foreign capital has fled, and South Korean retail investors have absorbed it all using leverage

Despite the accelerated migration of Korean funds from cryptocurrency to the stock market, the Korean market remains an important barometer for global cryptocurrency retail liquidity and recovery turning points.

Japan’s Three Megabanks Plan Joint Stablecoin Issuance in Fiscal 2026

MUFG, SMBC, and Mizuho reportedly plan to jointly issue fiat-pegged stablecoins in fiscal 2026, signaling Japan’s growing push into bank-led digital payment infrastructure.

Humanity Discloses H Token Dual-Chain Attack Details, With Losses on Ethereum and BSC Exceeding $36 Million

Humanity said the H token attack across Ethereum and BSC caused more than $36 million in losses after leaked ProxyAdmin keys enabled malicious contract upgrades and token minting.

Popular coins

Latest Crypto News

Read more
iconiconiconiconiconiconicon
Customer Support:@weikecs
Business Cooperation:@weikecs
Quant Trading & MM:bd@weex.com
VIP Program:support@weex.com