Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin may drop below $60,000 before rising to $250,000
Arthur Hayes stated on the Coin Stories podcast that he will not invest the last dollar into Bitcoin at this time because the Federal Reserve has not yet been forced to expand liquidity. Arthur Hayes believes that tariff policies will lead to inflation and may prompt the U.S. to turn to capital controls, which will become a significant liquidity catalyst for Bitcoin.
Arthur Hayes maintains a long-term target price for Bitcoin in this cycle between $250,000 and $750,000, but warns that if the U.S.-Iran conflict continues, Bitcoin may drop below $60,000 in the short term. Additionally, Charles Schwab confirmed that it will launch direct spot trading of Bitcoin and Ethereum through new accounts in the first half of 2026.
Research from Mercado Bitcoin shows that Bitcoin consistently outperformed gold and the S&P 500 index within 60 days after significant global shocks. Currently, the price of Bitcoin has risen to around $67,300, while the cryptocurrency fear and greed index has remained in the extreme fear range for several weeks.
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