Arthur Hayes: If the U.S. is involved in the Iran conflict for a long time, it will force the Federal Reserve to print money and drive up the price of Bitcoin

By: rootdata|2026/03/02 09:43:30

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes published an analysis stating that since 1985, every U.S. president has initiated military actions against Middle Eastern countries, and Trump has continued this tradition. He uses simple logic to judge Bitcoin's trend: the longer the U.S. is involved in the Iran situation, the more likely the Federal Reserve is to cut interest rates or print money to support war expenditures, which will drive up Bitcoin prices.

Regarding trading strategies, Hayes stated: "Currently, we are unclear how long Trump can maintain his involvement, spending billions or even trillions of dollars to reshape Iranian politics according to his wishes, nor do we know how much geopolitical and financial market shock he can withstand before retreating. The wise approach is to wait and see. The real opportunity to buy Bitcoin and quality altcoins like HYPE is after the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates or increases money supply to support the Iranian government’s objectives."

-- Price

A Polymarket user supported nearly half of Trade.xyz's "active addresses" with 34,000 wallets, yet contributed less than 1% of the trading volume. The real support for the market comes from market-making institutions like Jump, Selini, and Wintermute, as well as a group of directional traders crossi...

Binance quietly placed a bet on a leading large model company

In the past year, YZi Labs has significantly accelerated its investments in the AI field, from educational agents to physical robots, and then to large models, with crypto capital and AI technology rapidly integrating.

Best Crypto Discord Server 2026: Why Jacob’s Crypto Clan Is Gaining Massive Attention

Jacob’s Crypto Clan has grown into one of the most active crypto Discord communities, with over 45K members and continuing to expand. This rapid growth reflects strong demand for structured trading insights and real-time collaboration.

Tom Lee Buying ETH: Why Wall Street’s Loudest Ethereum Bull Keeps Doubling Down

Tom Lee keeps buying ETH through every dip, every drawdown, and every moment of market doubt. Inside the strategy that's turning Ethereum into a treasury asset — and what it signals for the rest of the market.

Stripe Sessions 2026: AI Agent, Global Payments, and Invisible Crypto Infrastructure

Stablecoins have finally begun to enter the real business world, but this time, the main character may not be exchanges, wallets, or public chains, but Stripe. It encapsulates KYC, wallets, gas, compliance, and settlement, allowing businesses to access on-chain assets just like using regular payment...

Where will South Korea's cryptocurrency taxation head?

There is little time left before South Korea implements cryptocurrency taxation, but the current tax laws only cover simple spot and currency-to-currency transactions. Driven by the international tax information exchange standard (CARF), South Korea is comprehensively building an intelligence analys...

Legendary investor Naval: Apple is dead, SaaS will follow suit, and entrepreneurs have 18 months to reshape their moats

"You can continue to hold Apple stock. Just don't expect that what you hold is stock in a growth company."

Morning Report | Visa includes Polygon in its global stablecoin settlement program; MoonPay invests $100 million to acquire security company Sodot; Digital wallet platform Belo completes $14 million Series A financing

Overview of Important Market Events on April 29

Full text of the Federal Reserve's decision: Holding steady for the third consecutive time but increasing divisions

The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates unchanged for the third consecutive time, but there were internal voting disagreements, with one official advocating for a rate cut while three others opposed signaling easing. The situation in the Middle East and fluctuations in energy prices further ampl...

Dan Bin takes action, building a position in Circle

If Web3 only stays at the level of price and narrative, traditional capital will find it difficult to truly enter; but once a group of companies that can be clearly explained and included in balance sheets begins to emerge, the way the industry participates will change.

The Impossible Triangle of DeFi Lending

Borrowers want fixed interest rates, while lenders seek immediate liquidity; this is the dilemma of on-chain lending, where both cannot be achieved simultaneously.

Popular coins

Latest Crypto News

00:42

a16z Crypto executive: The term stablecoin may gradually become outdated

Robert Hackett, head of special projects at a16z Crypto, pointed out that the term "stablecoin" is gradually losing its relevance. Stablecoins were originally born during a period of high volatility in the crypto market, hence the emphasis on the characteristic of "stability."However, with technolog...

00:42

According to CoinGlass data, the total liquidation amount in the cryptocurrency market in the past 24 hours reached $274 million, with long positions liquidated at $62.0613 million and short positions liquidated at $212 million.The liquidation amount for BTC reached $130 million, while ETH saw liqui...

23:42

WisdomTree Q1 crypto ETP net inflow of $137 million, AUM increased by over 30% year-on-year

According to The Block, asset management company WisdomTree disclosed that its cryptocurrency exchange-traded products (ETPs) recorded a net inflow of $137 million, a significant improvement compared to a net outflow of $89 million during the same period in 2025.As of the end of the first quarter, W...

Arthur Hayes: If the U.S. is involved in the Iran conflict for a long time, it will force the Federal Reserve to print money and drive up the price of Bitcoin

-- Price

You may also like

What Is Futures Trading? Hours, Platforms, and How to Start Trade Futures(2026 Guide)

The Rise of Composable RWA

MAGA Up 350% in 24 Hours, PEPE Up 46% in One Day: Which Memecoins Are Next in 2026?

RCD Espanyol vs Real Madrid: Can the Pericos Delay the Inevitable?

MegaETH goes live with an FDV exceeding 2 billion USD. Which ecological projects are worth paying attention to?

Dialogue with "Wood Sister" Cathie Wood: The next bull market is about to arrive

Can prediction markets win the competition for perpetual contracts?

Who is trading on Trade.xyz?