Bitcoin Profit-Taking Not Yet In Full Swing – STH Back In Profit As BTC Crossed $99K
By: bitcoinist|2025/05/15 05:45:05
0
Share
Bitcoin is trading around $103,000 after a multi-week rally that saw the price surge through major resistance levels, reigniting bullish sentiment across the market. The breakout above $90K and $100K unlocked strong momentum, but now BTC enters a critical test zone that will shape the weeks ahead. A successful push above the all-time high (ATH) near $109K could confirm the beginning of a new bullish phase, while a rejection or fakeout at current levels could trigger a sharp correction.On-chain data from CryptoQuant adds context to this pivotal moment. Since May 8th, short-term holders (STH) have finally moved back into profit territory as Bitcoin reclaimed the $99,000 mark. The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) for this group has remained above 1 ever since, indicating that STH are now selling coins at a profit. Historically, this metric reflects growing confidence and momentum, which are essential for sustaining an uptrend.However, the same data also warns that as SOPR rises, so does the likelihood of increased sell pressure. For now, the trend remains bullish, but Bitcoin’s ability to maintain this zone—and break above ATH—will determine whether the market accelerates higher or pauses for consolidation.STH Regain Profits As Bitcoin Eyes ATH BreakoutBitcoin is showing solid bullish momentum after reclaiming key resistance levels, but a breakout above the $109,000 all-time high remains critical to confirm the start of a full-scale rally. After peaking near $105,000, BTC faced moderate selling pressure and pulled back into the $101K–$100K support range, where buyers have stepped in to defend the move. This area now serves as a pivotal demand zone, and bulls must hold it to maintain market structure and push higher in the coming sessions.According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, a significant trend has emerged since May 8th—short-term holders (STH) are finally back in profit as Bitcoin crossed above the $99,000 mark. Their SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) has remained above 1 ever since, signaling that coins spent by STH are being sold at a profit. This is a crucial development because when STHs are in profit, they tend to support market momentum rather than capitulate under pressure.Darkfost highlights that when SOPR begins pushing toward 1.03, it often suggests growing sell pressure from profit-taking. However, that’s not currently the case. While some profit-taking is natural, the broader sentiment appears confident, with holders showing signs of restraint. “It feels like we’re just getting warmed up,” says Darkfost, suggesting this rally may have more room to run, provided Bitcoin can hold support and retest local highs.BTC Price Consolidates Around Key LevelsBitcoin is currently trading at $103,585 after a strong rally that began in late April and peaked near $105,000. The daily chart shows that BTC has entered a critical consolidation phase just below key resistance. After breaking through the $100,000 psychological level with high momentum, price action paused at $103,600—an area that now acts as short-term resistance.Despite a minor retracement to around $102,000, bulls have quickly defended the dip, signaling strong demand. Volume remains elevated, and BTC is comfortably trading above both the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $91,967 and the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $87,674, confirming a sustained uptrend.The market is now in a wait-and-see mode as traders look for confirmation of a breakout or signs of a deeper pullback. A close above $103,600 would likely trigger a push toward the all-time high of $109,000. Conversely, losing the $100,000–$101,000 zone could invite bearish pressure and a retest of lower support levels near $96,000.Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
You may also like

SharpLink CEO: How to understand that Ethereum developers have just surpassed 1 million?
The most important question in the cryptocurrency industry is not which chain is the fastest, but rather where top builders choose to build in the long term. Ethereum has just surpassed one million cumulative developers; what does this number mean?

Morning Report | MiCA grace period expires on July 1; Kalshi's trading volume in the first week of the World Cup breaks $5.1 billion, setting a record
Overview of Important Market Events on June 15

What is the connection between Huang Zheng of Pinduoduo and blockchain?
From Pinduoduo's "reverse insurance" to blockchain's smart contracts, this article explains how Huang Zheng's underlying logic uses "certainty" rules to reshape the flow of wealth for ordinary people.

Morning Report | Prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket jointly sue Kentucky over 14.25% trading tax; Bridgewater founder discusses decision-making in the AI era: principled thinking should run parallel to AI, human insight remains irre...
Overview of Important Market Events on June 15

If the AI bubble has already burst, who will truly remain?
What remains after the AI bubble bursts? The plummeting cost of computing power is driving AI to accelerate the reshaping of various industries. What will be left after the major reshuffle is an irreversible revolution in real productivity.

Paul Graham: How to Make a Billion Dollars
Silicon Valley guru Paul Graham reveals the underlying logic of billion-dollar wealth: no need to cheat, just create products that users love intensely, allowing exponential growth to create wealth miracles.

After 18 years, blockchain has finally started to head towards the main channel
When AI becomes the new center of gravity in the capital market, the response of crypto VCs is not to stick to "Crypto-only," but to repackage crypto as the financial track, ownership layer, and autonomous system infrastructure of the AI era.

Claude enforces "facial recognition for household registration," starting in July, no ID card means no access?
Anthropic has issued an urgent notice that Claude users may face real-name verification in July. From now on, every time you use Claude, you may need to be prepared with your ID.

On the day of SpaceX's IPO, the first real test of the three perpetual mechanisms
The price has been discovered, and the market surrounding the price is still under construction.

Value Distribution of Stablecoins
The issuance layer obtains user funds and takes the largest profit margin; the two middle layers rely on traffic, distribution commissions, and underlying infrastructure; the application layer enjoys convenience but has no bargaining power.

Galaxy Deep Dive: Is the Bitcoin Four-Year Cycle Still Valid?
Galaxy Research believes that the four-year cycle of Bitcoin is still valid, but the amplitude of the cycle is shrinking. This round's peak is milder, which means that even if the pullback continues, the bottom may be higher than the extreme levels of past cycles.

SpaceX IPO, Nvidia, and Bitcoin: Why Traders Are Watching More Than Just Crypto in 2026
Bitcoin recently plunged below $60,000 before rebounding, while SpaceX's historic IPO and Nvidia's continued AI momentum captured traders' attention worldwide. Explore why more crypto traders are looking beyond crypto in 2026 and what this shift means for emerging market opportunities.

The other side of Musk's trillion-dollar fortune: 85% cannot be sold
SpaceX's IPO is a math problem, and the answer is not on the pricing day, but in the first quarter after the lock-up period ends.

The U.S. government prohibits foreigners from using Fable 5, Anthropic issues a rebuttal
The sudden removal of the two models has caused widespread shock in the tech industry and the AI community.

Citibank releases "2030 Asset Tokenization Market Outlook": 6 major trends may create a $8.2 trillion market
The tokenization of financial assets is moving from pilot projects to large-scale implementation, but this is a gradual evolution rather than a fierce revolution.

The trillion-dollar valuation test: Are the three major super IPOs a celebration for tech stocks or a nightmare for the crypto market?
Tech giants like SpaceX and OpenAI have sparked a $35 trillion super IPO wave. The "suction effect" is not enough to crash the stock and crypto markets, but the test of high valuations is just beginning.

Morning Report | Digital Asset completes $355 million financing led by a16z Crypto; Meta completes operational separation from Manus
Overview of Important Market Events on June 11

a16z Crypto Partner: Cash flow is the moat
Most companies spend years creating network effects on traditional infrastructure. Crypto founders inherit them as starting conditions.
SharpLink CEO: How to understand that Ethereum developers have just surpassed 1 million?
The most important question in the cryptocurrency industry is not which chain is the fastest, but rather where top builders choose to build in the long term. Ethereum has just surpassed one million cumulative developers; what does this number mean?
Morning Report | MiCA grace period expires on July 1; Kalshi's trading volume in the first week of the World Cup breaks $5.1 billion, setting a record
Overview of Important Market Events on June 15
What is the connection between Huang Zheng of Pinduoduo and blockchain?
From Pinduoduo's "reverse insurance" to blockchain's smart contracts, this article explains how Huang Zheng's underlying logic uses "certainty" rules to reshape the flow of wealth for ordinary people.
Morning Report | Prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket jointly sue Kentucky over 14.25% trading tax; Bridgewater founder discusses decision-making in the AI era: principled thinking should run parallel to AI, human insight remains irre...
Overview of Important Market Events on June 15
If the AI bubble has already burst, who will truly remain?
What remains after the AI bubble bursts? The plummeting cost of computing power is driving AI to accelerate the reshaping of various industries. What will be left after the major reshuffle is an irreversible revolution in real productivity.
Paul Graham: How to Make a Billion Dollars
Silicon Valley guru Paul Graham reveals the underlying logic of billion-dollar wealth: no need to cheat, just create products that users love intensely, allowing exponential growth to create wealth miracles.
Customer Support:@weikecs
Business Cooperation:@weikecs
Quant Trading & MM:bd@weex.com
VIP Program:support@weex.com


