Former Credit Suisse CIO: Tokenized gold assumes "almost 100% price discovery" during CME market closure over the weekend
According to Cointelegraph, former Credit Suisse Chief Investment Officer Iggy Ioppe stated that during the period when CME Group's gold futures closed on Friday at 5:00 PM (Eastern Time) and reopened on Sunday at 6:00 PM, nearly all publicly visible gold price formation occurred in the on-chain market.
He pointed out that during this time window, the regulated futures market was paused, and while there was some activity in the over-the-counter (OTC) market in Asia, it was not publicly transparent. Therefore, tokenized gold assets such as PAX Gold (PAXG) and Tether Gold (XAUt) became the only continuously tradable public market.
"From the perspective of publicly visible price formation, the on-chain market accounted for almost 100% of weekend price discovery." When CME resumes trading, futures prices typically align with the fluctuations that have occurred in the on-chain market.
Data shows that the market capitalization of tokenized gold has risen to $4.4 billion, with approximately $2.8 billion added in the past year, an increase of 177%, far exceeding the performance of most spot gold ETFs. The total trading volume for 2025 is about $178 billion, with a peak of over $126 billion in the fourth quarter alone, making it second only to SPDR Gold Shares in terms of trading volume.
On Saturday, amid airstrikes by the U.S. against Iran and escalating geopolitical tensions, tokenized gold briefly rose, with XAUt surpassing $5,450 and PAXG nearing $5,536, while Bitcoin and Ethereum fell in tandem.
Current major participants include market makers, cross-market liquidity providers, and crypto-native macro traders who use tokenized gold for arbitrage, collateral, hedging, and yield strategies. Some institutions also monitor weekend on-chain gold trends to assess the "gap risk" before CME opens, but they often regard it as a reference signal rather than a direct basis for building positions.
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