K33: This round of the Bitcoin bear market is different; exceptionally pessimistic traders have limited the downside potential

By: rootdata|2026/05/20 20:45:08

According to CoinDesk, K33 Research stated in a report that this round of the Bitcoin bear market is different, as exceptionally pessimistic traders have limited the downside. Bitcoin traders remain in a defensive stance, reducing the risk of a leveraged-driven collapse. Research director Vetle Lunde pointed out that the current slow bottoming process has not replicated the rapid reversals seen after bear market rebounds in previous cycles, and derivative data instead points to extreme pessimism.

The 30-day average funding rate for Bitcoin has been negative for 81 consecutive days, nearing the longest historical record. The annualized basis for CME Bitcoin futures has dropped below 2.5%, which is an extremely cautious level. However, Bitcoin derivative open interest remains high, and further price weakness could trigger volatility. K33 maintains its fundamental judgment, believing that Bitcoin falling to $60,000 in February could be the largest pullback of this round.

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