There Is No Altseason Without These 3 Key Indicators
By: bitcoin ethereum news|2025/05/04 12:30:01
0
Share
CEO and Co-founder of crypto education media firm Coinbureau, Nic Puckrin has shared a “realistic” take on the altseason. The former TradFi entrepreneur and prominent digital asset advocate has highlighted three necessary conditions to usher in an altseason. Altseason Still On Ice: What Needs To Change The altseason defines a period in the crypto bull market where altcoins significantly outperform Bitcoin. It is an entirely anticipated event, presenting investors with the opportunity to register massive profits due to the smaller market caps of altcoins compared to Bitcoin. However, the potential of altseason in the current bull cycle has been previously questioned, with analysts citing the rising number of altcoins compared to previous cycles. In contributing to this discourse, Puckrin states that an altseason usually occurs 320 days after the Bitcoin halving, a target that has been met following the last halving in April 2024. However, Pukrin explains an altseason for this current bull cycle can only occur following the development of three crucial signals. Firstly, the analyst states that Bitcoin dominance must fall below 54%. The Bitcoin dominance measures BTC’s share of the total crypto market. It represents the percentage of crypto investment that is in Bitcoin. Notably, an altseason only occurs after Bitcoin Dominance begins to fall, indicating that investors are rotating their capital into altcoins. Nic Puckrin explains that Bitcoin Dominance must stop rising and fall below the 54% threshold to confirm this rotation. However, despite the need for this fall in BTC Dominance, the Coin Bureau boss further states that Bitcoin must break above its current all-time high to induce an altcoin bull market. However, the premier cryptocurrency must achieve this feat without pulling all the liquidity from the market. It is worth noting that in prior cycles, an altcoin market rally comes after Bitcoin establishes market dominance, then consolidates, giving room for investors to move their liquidity to lower-cap speculative assets. Nic Puckrin’s final condition states the US Federal Reserve must cease all Quantitative Tightening (QT) measures and confirm incoming rate cuts to counter the current interest rates above 4%. In doing so, the Fed can induce in rise in market liquidity, which is necessary for altseason. Crypto Market Overview At the time of writing, the total crypto market has now reclaimed the $3 trillion mark following the general bullish swing in the past week. Meanwhile, market trading volume is down by 16.82% and valued at $68.83 billion. Notably, the altcoin season index is still at 21, indicating that Bitcoin still outperforms a large percentage of the altcoin market, and there is no altseason in view for now. Historically, altseasons occur when the index is above 75, which indicates broad-based strength across altcoins. Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers. Source: https://bitcoinist.com/no-altseason-without-these-3-indicators-analyst-say/
You may also like

Business Opportunities of Tokenized Stocks
In this article, we will outline the lifecycle of tokenized stocks, analyze the current market landscape, and highlight the emerging business opportunities.

In-depth research report on the Resolv protocol hacking incident, who is the final payer?
This incident reveals a fundamental weakness in Delta's stablecoin - the coupling point between the minting logic and off-chain signatures/oracles is the most vulnerable attack surface of the system. Any capital efficiency design of "1 dollar minted for 1 dollar" must be predicated on extremely rigo...

Crypto Market Sees Large Liquidations: $272 Million in Long Positions Affected
Key Takeaways In the last 24 hours, $272 million worth of contracts were liquidated across the entire crypto…

Whale Increases BTC Shorts and Bets on Crude Oil: A Strategic Crypto Move
Key Takeaways A prominent whale, known as “UnRektCapital,” has strategically escalated its short position in Bitcoin while simultaneously…

Hackers in Brazil Use Fake Google Play Store to Steal Cryptocurrency
Key Takeaways Hackers in Brazil are exploiting fake Google Play Store pages to spread Android malware. Infected devices…

Exchanging 200,000 for nearly 100 million, DeFi stablecoins face another attack
DeFi project teams cannot assume that the modules they control are necessarily secure.

The underlying business agreement of the trillion-dollar Agent economy: Understanding ERC-8183, it's not just about payments, but the future
This article systematically analyzes the technical principles and commercial value of the ERC-8183 protocol from the dimensions of technical architecture, core mechanisms, application scenarios, and ecological collaboration.

When Wall Street's ETH begins to "yield": Looking at the asset properties of Ethereum from BlackRock's ETHB
ETH is undergoing a paradigm shift from a "volatile asset" to a "yield-generating cash flow asset."

The Power of Agency: The Agentic Wallet and the Next Decade of Wallets
In 1984, Apple killed the command line with a mouse. In 2026, Agent is killing the mouse.

Understanding x402 and MPP in One Article: Two Routes for Agent Payments
x402 makes payments within the agreement, while MPP makes system-level payments.

Particle Founder: The entrepreneurial insights I have gained the most from in the past year
Stop lean startup, stop lightning entrepreneurship, and think carefully about what your product aspirations are.

Huang Renxun's latest podcast transcript: The future of Nvidia, the development of embodied intelligence and agents, the explosion of inference demand, and the public relations crisis of artificial intelligence
The competition in the future is not just about whose model is larger or whose computing power is stronger, but also about who understands the industry better, who can embed AI more deeply into real processes, and who can organize these capabilities into a runnable and scalable system.

OKX Ventures Research Report: AI Agent Economic Infrastructure Research Report (Part 1)
The existing infrastructure is hostile to the Agent economy. Agents can think and act independently at the "capability level," but at the "economic level," they are still locked into infrastructure designed for humans.

The migration of settlement rights: B18 and the institutional starting point of on-chain banks
In the traditional system, banks decide the settlement; in the on-chain system, code begins to take over this responsibility.

From Tencent and Circle: Looking at the Simple and Difficult Questions of Investment
The AI narrative continues to ferment, but the recent performance of related stocks varies, with some in the midst of summer and others as if in winter.

The second half of stablecoins no longer belongs to the crypto circle
What Coinbase doesn't want, Mastercard is eager to buy.

Cursor "Shell" Kimi Controversy Reversed: From Copyright Infringement Allegations to Authorized Collaboration, China's Open Source Model Once Again Becomes a Global AI Foundation
Cursor was accused of being based on Kimi K2.5, which sparked controversy, and was later confirmed to be compliant through Fireworks AI due diligence.

The Real Reason Tokens Don't Sell: 90% of Crypto Projects Overlook Investor Relations
Provide an Investor Relations Best Practices Guide for Crypto Projects.
Business Opportunities of Tokenized Stocks
In this article, we will outline the lifecycle of tokenized stocks, analyze the current market landscape, and highlight the emerging business opportunities.
In-depth research report on the Resolv protocol hacking incident, who is the final payer?
This incident reveals a fundamental weakness in Delta's stablecoin - the coupling point between the minting logic and off-chain signatures/oracles is the most vulnerable attack surface of the system. Any capital efficiency design of "1 dollar minted for 1 dollar" must be predicated on extremely rigo...
Crypto Market Sees Large Liquidations: $272 Million in Long Positions Affected
Key Takeaways In the last 24 hours, $272 million worth of contracts were liquidated across the entire crypto…
Whale Increases BTC Shorts and Bets on Crude Oil: A Strategic Crypto Move
Key Takeaways A prominent whale, known as “UnRektCapital,” has strategically escalated its short position in Bitcoin while simultaneously…
Hackers in Brazil Use Fake Google Play Store to Steal Cryptocurrency
Key Takeaways Hackers in Brazil are exploiting fake Google Play Store pages to spread Android malware. Infected devices…
Exchanging 200,000 for nearly 100 million, DeFi stablecoins face another attack
DeFi project teams cannot assume that the modules they control are necessarily secure.