USD/CAD edges lower below 1.4000 on softer US Dollar, eyes on US hard data
By: bitcoin ethereum news|2025/05/15 08:45:05
0
Share
USD/CAD softens to around 1.3975 in Thursday’s early Asian session. US April CPI inflation came in cooler than expected, weighing on the US Dollar. Fed is expected to deliver gradual rate cuts starting later in the year. The USD/CAD pair loses ground to near 1.3975 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by a weaker US Dollar (USD). The US Retail Sales and Producer Price Index (PPI) for April will be the highlights later on Thursday, along with the speech from the Fed’s Chair Jerome Powell. Tamer-than-expected US April inflation weighs on the Greenback against the Canadian Dollar (CAD). The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 2.3% YoY in April, compared to a rise of 2.4% in March, according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on Tuesday. This reading came in below the market expectation of 2.4% and registered the smallest year-over-year gain in more than four years. However, signs of de-escalation of a US-China trade war and easing fears of recession in the United States have prompted traders to raise their bets that the Fed policymakers will deliver gradual rate cuts later in the year instead of taking earlier. This, in turn, could provide some support to the US Dollar. Markets have dialed back expectations for rate cuts from the Fed this year, pricing in a 74% odds for the first cut of at least 25 basis points (bps) at the September meeting, according to LSEG data, compared with the prior view for a cut in July. Meanwhile, a decline in Crude Oil prices might drag the commodity-linked Loonie lower and create a tailwind for the pair. It’s worth noting that Canada is the largest oil exporter to the US, and lower crude oil prices tend to have a negative impact on the CAD value. Canadian Dollar FAQs The key factors driving the Canadian Dollar (CAD) are the level of interest rates set by the Bank of Canada (BoC), the price of Oil, Canada’s largest export, the health of its economy, inflation and the Trade Balance, which is the difference between the value of Canada’s exports versus its imports. Other factors include market sentiment – whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) – with risk-on being CAD-positive. As its largest trading partner, the health of the US economy is also a key factor influencing the Canadian Dollar. The Bank of Canada (BoC) has a significant influence on the Canadian Dollar by setting the level of interest rates that banks can lend to one another. This influences the level of interest rates for everyone. The main goal of the BoC is to maintain inflation at 1-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively higher interest rates tend to be positive for the CAD. The Bank of Canada can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former CAD-negative and the latter CAD-positive. The price of Oil is a key factor impacting the value of the Canadian Dollar. Petroleum is Canada’s biggest export, so Oil price tends to have an immediate impact on the CAD value. Generally, if Oil price rises CAD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Oil falls. Higher Oil prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance, which is also supportive of the CAD. While inflation had always traditionally been thought of as a negative factor for a currency since it lowers the value of money, the opposite has actually been the case in modern times with the relaxation of cross-border capital controls. Higher inflation tends to lead central banks to put up interest rates which attracts more capital inflows from global investors seeking a lucrative place to keep their money. This increases demand for the local currency, which in Canada’s case is the Canadian Dollar. Macroeconomic data releases gauge the health of the economy and can have an impact on the Canadian Dollar. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the CAD. A strong economy is good for the Canadian Dollar. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the Bank of Canada to put up interest rates, leading to a stronger currency. If economic data is weak, however, the CAD is likely to fall. Source: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/usd-cad-edges-lower-below-14000-on-softer-us-dollar-eyes-on-us-hard-data-202505142311
You may also like

The other side of Musk's trillion-dollar fortune: 85% cannot be sold
SpaceX's IPO is a math problem, and the answer is not on the pricing day, but in the first quarter after the lock-up period ends.

The U.S. government prohibits foreigners from using Fable 5, Anthropic issues a rebuttal
The sudden removal of the two models has caused widespread shock in the tech industry and the AI community.

Citibank releases "2030 Asset Tokenization Market Outlook": 6 major trends may create a $8.2 trillion market
The tokenization of financial assets is moving from pilot projects to large-scale implementation, but this is a gradual evolution rather than a fierce revolution.

The trillion-dollar valuation test: Are the three major super IPOs a celebration for tech stocks or a nightmare for the crypto market?
Tech giants like SpaceX and OpenAI have sparked a $35 trillion super IPO wave. The "suction effect" is not enough to crash the stock and crypto markets, but the test of high valuations is just beginning.

Morning Report | Digital Asset completes $355 million financing led by a16z Crypto; Meta completes operational separation from Manus
Overview of Important Market Events on June 11

a16z Crypto Partner: Cash flow is the moat
Most companies spend years creating network effects on traditional infrastructure. Crypto founders inherit them as starting conditions.

Cryptocurrency market makers collectively seek change as it becomes increasingly difficult to make money
There is more and more to do.

How TradeXYZ, xStocks, and Alpaca break down the SpaceX IPO into three different strategies
The value of tokenized products ultimately depends on whether the underlying structure is sound, rather than just the price displayed on the interface.

$75 billion in risk asset redistribution: How will SpaceX's IPO affect U.S. stocks and Bitcoin?
The SpaceX IPO is short-term "capital competition" for the cryptocurrency market, while in the medium to long term, it leans towards "narrative endorsement" for Bitcoin.

Why Is BlackRock Investing $5 Billion in the SpaceX IPO?
What is driving the massive demand for the SpaceX IPO, and why did BlackRock place a $5 billion order? Learn how the historic listing could impact SpaceX stock, Bitcoin, SPCX, and crypto markets.

Morning News | CME Group launches Nasdaq Cryptocurrency Index futures; Asset management giant Janus Henderson strategically invests in Ethena
Overview of Important Market Events on June 10

Bitcoin Layer 2 Network Botanix: Why Did We Choose to Dissolve?
The Bitcoin L2 star project Botanix announced a gradual shutdown, with the team admitting to facing severe challenges from the failure of its business model and the prevailing trends. Users are urged to withdraw all assets before July 9, 2026.

Why did Oracle deliver the strongest financial report in history, yet its stock price fell?
Oracle's revenue for fiscal year 2026 set a record, with AI cloud orders soaring to $638 billion, but massive capital expenditures on computing power led to negative free cash flow, causing a 5% drop in after-hours stock prices.

When the P2P illicit funds from ten years ago turned into 60,000 bitcoins
The largest Bitcoin money laundering case in the UK has new developments: 16,000 Chinese victims are pursuing 61,000 seized Bitcoins across borders, and the dispute over the applicability of UK and Chinese laws will directly determine whether the victims can share in the soaring profits.

Dialogue with OmenX Founder: Why does the prediction market need an evolution from "spot" to "derivatives"?
How to reconstruct the prediction market using leverage?

Galaxy in-depth report: Is Solana still worth paying attention to?
Solana did not fall behind during the bear market. Trading enthusiasm has waned, but the network is more stable, RWA and stablecoins are expanding, and the capital foundation is much thicker than in the previous cycle. The real question is: when the speculative tide recedes, can perpetuals, predicti...

Young people in South Korea make a "final effort" in the epic bull market
The South Koreans' average of two accounts for wildly gambling in the chip bull market reflects the survival anxiety and harsh reality of countless young people trying to break through class barriers behind the nationwide stock trading frenzy for wealth.

The pricing controversy of Trade.xyz exposes the fatal weakness of Pre-IPO perpetual contracts
SpaceX's equity update has sparked controversy over on-chain liquidations. Trade.xyz refuses to reset the SPCX pricing, and the lack of a Rebase mechanism in Perp DEX has led to a significant trust test for on-chain Pre-IPO assets.
The other side of Musk's trillion-dollar fortune: 85% cannot be sold
SpaceX's IPO is a math problem, and the answer is not on the pricing day, but in the first quarter after the lock-up period ends.
The U.S. government prohibits foreigners from using Fable 5, Anthropic issues a rebuttal
The sudden removal of the two models has caused widespread shock in the tech industry and the AI community.
Citibank releases "2030 Asset Tokenization Market Outlook": 6 major trends may create a $8.2 trillion market
The tokenization of financial assets is moving from pilot projects to large-scale implementation, but this is a gradual evolution rather than a fierce revolution.
The trillion-dollar valuation test: Are the three major super IPOs a celebration for tech stocks or a nightmare for the crypto market?
Tech giants like SpaceX and OpenAI have sparked a $35 trillion super IPO wave. The "suction effect" is not enough to crash the stock and crypto markets, but the test of high valuations is just beginning.
Morning Report | Digital Asset completes $355 million financing led by a16z Crypto; Meta completes operational separation from Manus
Overview of Important Market Events on June 11
a16z Crypto Partner: Cash flow is the moat
Most companies spend years creating network effects on traditional infrastructure. Crypto founders inherit them as starting conditions.
Customer Support:@weikecs
Business Cooperation:@weikecs
Quant Trading & MM:bd@weex.com
VIP Program:support@weex.com

