White House internal warning: Staff are prohibited from using insider policy information to place bets in prediction markets
According to the WSJ, just hours after President Trump suddenly announced a suspension of attacks on Iran last month, the White House warned staff not to abuse their power to place bets in prediction markets at the right moment. According to informed sources, the Office of Management and Budget issued this warning on March 23.
Earlier that day, Trump announced the decision to suspend airstrikes via Truth Social. About 15 minutes before the sudden policy shift, there was a wave of mysterious trading activity in the futures market, with Dow Jones market data showing that contracts worth over $760 million in oil futures changed hands in less than two minutes.
Recently, three accounts on the Polymarket platform profited over $600,000 by accurately predicting the timing of this week's ceasefire in Iran. Critics of Trump, including many Democrats, immediately inferred that someone had profited from having advance knowledge of the policy shift.
The White House confirmed the authenticity of this warning, with Trump's spokesperson Engel stating, "The only special interest that can guide President Trump's decision-making is the best interest of the American people."
You may also like

If the AI bubble has already burst, who will truly remain?

Morning Report | Prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket jointly sue Kentucky over 14.25% trading tax; Bridgewater founder discusses decision-making in the AI era: principled thinking should run parallel to AI, human insight remains irre...

What is the connection between Huang Zheng of Pinduoduo and blockchain?

The other side of Musk's trillion-dollar fortune: 85% cannot be sold

The U.S. government prohibits foreigners from using Fable 5, Anthropic issues a rebuttal

Citibank releases "2030 Asset Tokenization Market Outlook": 6 major trends may create a $8.2 trillion market

The trillion-dollar valuation test: Are the three major super IPOs a celebration for tech stocks or a nightmare for the crypto market?

Morning Report | Digital Asset completes $355 million financing led by a16z Crypto; Meta completes operational separation from Manus

a16z Crypto Partner: Cash flow is the moat

Cryptocurrency market makers collectively seek change as it becomes increasingly difficult to make money

How TradeXYZ, xStocks, and Alpaca break down the SpaceX IPO into three different strategies

$75 billion in risk asset redistribution: How will SpaceX's IPO affect U.S. stocks and Bitcoin?

Why Is BlackRock Investing $5 Billion in the SpaceX IPO?

Morning News | CME Group launches Nasdaq Cryptocurrency Index futures; Asset management giant Janus Henderson strategically invests in Ethena

Bitcoin Layer 2 Network Botanix: Why Did We Choose to Dissolve?

Why did Oracle deliver the strongest financial report in history, yet its stock price fell?

When the P2P illicit funds from ten years ago turned into 60,000 bitcoins


