Bernstein: The market's annual trading volume is expected to reach $1 trillion by 2030, with an annual compound growth rate of 80%

By: rootdata|2026/04/14 21:42:02

According to Theblock, the analyst team at research and brokerage firm Bernstein predicts that by 2030, the annual trading volume of prediction markets will reach $1 trillion, citing reasons such as regulatory clarity, mainstream distribution partnerships, and structural liquidity advantages compared to the traditional gaming market.

It is reported that the trading volume of Kalshi and Polymarket has reached a total of $60 billion so far this year, with analysts expecting the trading volume to reach $240 billion by 2026 and maintain an 80% compound annual growth rate by the end of 2030.

Sports betting contracts currently account for up to 62% of the trading volume in prediction markets, but analysts predict that this proportion may slow to around 31% by the end of 2030, as cryptocurrency, macroeconomic, political, and economic contracts will become larger long-term opportunities. They stated that sports events are just the entry point, not the ultimate goal.

Naval personally stepped in as the chairman of the USVC Investment Committee. This SEC-registered fund launched by AngelList attempts to bring top private tech assets like OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI to the general public with a $500 entry threshold. It is not just a new fund, but a structural experi...

a16z Crypto: 9 Charts to Understand the Evolution Trends of Stablecoins

Stablecoins are evolving from trading tools into universal payment infrastructure, and this process is quieter and more thorough than most people expected.

Refutation of Yang Haipo's "The End of Cryptocurrency"

This may be the true test of cryptocurrency. It's not about whether the price has reached a new high, nor about who will achieve financial freedom in the next bull market, but rather whether, after all the grand narratives have been washed away by cycles, it can still leave behind some simpler, more...

Can a hairdryer earn $34,000? Interpreting the reflexivity paradox of prediction markets

Prediction markets are essentially betting on reality, and when participants can access or even influence this path earlier, the market no longer just reflects reality but begins to shape it in return.

6MV Founder: In 2026, the "landmark turning point" for crypto investment has arrived

"I will deploy funds in 2026, so I will tell you this is the best year in history."

Abraxas Capital Mints $2.89 Billion USDT: Liquidity Boost or Just More Stablecoin Arbitrage?

Abraxas Capital just received $2.89 billion in freshly minted USDT from Tether. Is this a bullish liquidity injection for crypto markets, or is it business as usual for a stablecoin arbitrage giant? We analyze the data and the likely impact on Bitcoin, altcoins, and DeFi.

A VC from the Crypto world said AI is too crazy, and they are very conservative

Amid the Crypto frenzy and with investors who once missed out on Pinduoduo, a new AI fund called Impa Ventures was established, rejecting bubble narratives and adhering to a conservative "problem-first" strategy to seek real business value.

The Evolutionary History of Contract Algorithms: A Decade of Perpetual Contracts, the Curtain Has Yet to Fall

The ten-year evolution of perpetual contracts: from pulling the plug on 312 to the shocking short squeeze of TRB, a deep dive into the pricing machine that averages $200 billion daily, written with countless liquidations and real money, detailing the blood and tears of risk control theory.

Kicked out by PayPal, Musk aims to make a comeback in the cryptocurrency market

Cashtags generated a trading volume of 1 billion dollars just a few days after its launch, marking a strong start for Musk's super app strategy. For the cryptocurrency market, X's layout may be one of the most anticipated sources of retail growth after the meme coin craze subsides.

Solana ETF News: What Is a Solana ETF and Why Is Goldman Sachs Betting $108 Million on SOL?

Solana ETF news today shows Goldman Sachs disclosed a $108M position while total SOL ETF inflows reached $1.45B. Analysts now expect up to $6B in institutional demand as Solana trades 71% below its all-time high.

Bitcoin ETF News Today: $2.1B Inflows Signal Strong Institutional Demand for BTC

Bitcoin ETFs news recorded $2.1B inflows over 8 consecutive days, marking one of the strongest recent accumulation streaks. Here’s what the latest Bitcoin ETF news means for BTC price and whether the $80K breakout level is next.

Michael Saylor: Winter is Over – Is He Right? 5 Key Data Points (2026)

Michael Saylor tweeted yesterday “Winter‘s Over.” It is short. It is bold. And it has the crypto world talking.

But is he right? Or is this just another CEO pumping his bags?

Let us look at the data. Let us be neutral. Let us see if the ice has really melted.

WEEX Bubbles App Now Live Visualizes the Crypto Market at a Glance

WEEX Bubbles is a standalone app designed to help users quickly understand complex crypto market movements through an intuitive bubble visualization.

Polygon co-founder Sandeep: Writing after the chain bridge chain explosion

In three weeks, Drift, Hyperbridge, and KelpDAO were consecutively hacked, resulting in nearly $900 million in losses. Polygon's CEO wrote that the problem lies not with any single team, but with the "notary" style architecture shared by the entire industry—relying on one or two signers to stamp cro...

Morning News | Aave announces the establishment of a recovery fund; Michael Saylor releases Bitcoin Tracker information; Vietnam plans to launch a pilot project for crypto assets

Overview of Important Market Events on April 26

Crypto ETF Weekly | Last week, the net inflow for Bitcoin spot ETFs in the U.S. was $823 million; the net inflow for Ethereum spot ETFs in the U.S. was $155 million

GSR enters the cryptocurrency ETF market, launching its first multi-asset cryptocurrency ETF.