CoinWorld reports:
Over the past year, Shiba Inu (SHIB) has shown persistent weakness. Foreign media commentary suggests that whether this token can escape its slump largely depends on three external changes: a general recovery in the cryptocurrency market, advancements in U.S. regulatory legislation, and a loosening interest rate environment.
SHIB previously rose to around $0.000032 in December 2024, but has since declined. The article mentions that even if Bitcoin reaches a new high in October 2025, the rebound of SHIB is likely to be limited, indicating that its performance has not kept pace with mainstream assets.
Market Recovery is the Primary Condition
The article argues that for SHIB to regain strength, the overall improvement of the cryptocurrency market is essential. For most of this year, the digital asset market has been under pressure, with insufficient risk appetite and limited recovery for altcoins.
Foreign media cites VanEck's view that Bitcoin may be nearing the end of its current adjustment phase. If BTC re-enters an upward phase, market sentiment and capital activity are expected to improve, which may draw more attention to high-volatility tokens like SHIB.
U.S. Legislative Progress Seen as a Catalyst
The second variable mentioned is the advancement of the U.S. CLARITY Act. The article suggests that if this bill is formally enacted, it could bring a clearer regulatory environment to the cryptocurrency market and enhance investor confidence.
According to the article, related Senate voting had been postponed but may resume after the recess. If legislative progress is made, the acceptance of high-risk cryptocurrency assets may increase, potentially benefiting SHIB.
Interest Rate Cut Expectations May Improve Risk Appetite
The third factor is the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. The article points out that falling interest rates typically increase the market's willingness to allocate to high-risk assets, which is generally favorable for cryptocurrencies.
The article mentions that the U.S. inflation rate was 3.4% in July. If inflation continues to decline and approaches the Federal Reserve's 2% target, the space for monetary policy to shift towards easing may expand. In this scenario, SHIB could see a better trading environment.
Overall, this commentary does not suggest any new changes in SHIB's fundamentals but attributes its future performance more to whether external markets, policies, and macro conditions improve in sync.
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